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The debrief · Sunday 8 November 2026

Diaoune lights up Rennes, Manchester United snatches a 4-4, and a matchday awash with goals

Ligue 1 · Premier League · Liga · Serie A · Bundesliga · Primeira Liga · Eredivisie · Süper Lig · 1. Lig — 42 matches finished on 44 · updated on 09/11 14:20 (version 48)

The day was punctuated by decisive actions and spectacular scenarios. At Rennes, Lille won 2-1 with Soriba Diaoune scorer and provider (30% chances before the match), a less-expected outcome. Manchester United produced an incredible 4-4 against Aston Villa, equalising in stoppage time (observed probability 23%). Brest surprised Lyon (2-0) thanks to Noah Edjouma, while Heerenveen thrashed Feyenoord 5-3 with a Ringo Meerveld hat-trick. Brighton move up to second after their win over Brentford; Fenerbahçe prevailed emphatically (0-5) and Trabzonspor notched a sixth consecutive victory. Across all matches: 129 goals in 42 completed games, "", "", and ""

Text written by the agent based only on the verified facts below.

01

Soriba Diaoune (19) scorer and provider for Lille at Rennes (1-2), an outcome that had only a 30% chance before the match. Match ↓

02

Manchester United and Aston Villa served up a spectacular 4-4, an outcome that had only a 23 % chance before the match. Match ↓

03

Brighton rise to 2nd after 2-0 win over Brentford, a match marked by Igor Thiago's sending off (23rd minute). Match ↓

Matches

FRLigue 1 6 matches

15:00 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Stade Rennais1 – 2Lille OSC

Lille win 2-1 at Rennes: Soriba Diaoune set his team on their way by scoring and then provided the assist for Nathan Ngoy (68'). According to L'Équipe, Diaoune was the match's big revelation.

Before the match

143 %
N27 %
230 %

Slight favourite : Stade Rennais (43 %). Expected goals: 3,3 · +1.5 goals: 75 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 1-1).

  • 24’ goal · Soriba Diaoune (Lille OSC)
  • 31’ goal · Boulaye Dia (Stade Rennais)
  • 68’ goal · Nathan Ngoy (Lille OSC)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 30 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,3.

Stade Rennais NWDND 5/15 · 8e in the current ranking

Lille OSC DNWNW 8/15 · 2e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticStade RennaisLille OSC
Shots158
Shots on target23
Observed xG (during the match)1,590,44
Possession (%)5644
Corners72

Exact score 1-2 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,76 – 1,53. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,15 N 3,25 2 2,85 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2406 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:15 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Le Mans1 – 1Monaco

Monaco are pegged back at Le Mans (1-1): Mamadou Coulibaly had opened the scoring and celebrated with a controversial gesture that could lead to a sanction, according to L'Équipe and RMC Sport.

Before the match

117 %
N23 %
260 %

Moderate favourite : Monaco (60 %). Expected goals: 3,0 · +1.5 goals: 77 %.

What happened

Score 1-1 (half-time 0-1).

  • 40’ goal · Mamadou Coulibaly (Monaco)
  • 90’ goal · Erwan Colas (Le Mans)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 23 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 3,0.

Le Mans DDNDN 2/15 · 15e in the current ranking

Monaco NDNDN 3/15 · 7e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticLe MansMonaco
Shots196
Shots on target53
Observed xG (during the match)1,531,02
Possession (%)4852
Corners87

Exact score 1-1 : 12 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,38 – 1,58. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,40 N 4,00 2 1,56 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2463 of the 08/11 17:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:15 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Stade Brestois 292 – 0Olympique Lyonnais

Brest beat Lyon 2-0: Noah Edjouma scored and Ludovic Ajorque converted a penalty right at the end. L'Équipe notes that Locko made an impact on the match and that OL remain stuck in the table.

Before the match

135 %
N27 %
238 %

No clear favourite. Expected goals: 2,6 · +1.5 goals: 77 %.

What happened

Score 2-0 (half-time 1-0).

  • 22’ goal · Noah Edjouma (Stade Brestois 29)
  • 90+4’ penalty goal · Ludovic Ajorque (Stade Brestois 29)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 35 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,6.

Stade Brestois 29 WNDWW 10/15 · 9e in the current ranking

Olympique Lyonnais DDWND 4/15 · 5e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticStade Brestois 29Olympique Lyonnais
Shots1310
Shots on target62
Observed xG (during the match)1,920,70
Possession (%)3169
Corners18

Exact score 2-0 : 7 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,40 – 1,24. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,55 N 3,35 2 2,35 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2464 of the 08/11 17:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:15 · Matchday 10 Favourite came through

Le Havre0 – 2Lorient

Lorient win 2-0 at Le Havre, slight favourite at 40%.

Before the match

132 %
N28 %
240 %

Slight favourite : Lorient (40 %). Expected goals: 2,5 · +1.5 goals: 72 %.

What happened

Score 0-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 18’ goal · Isaak Touré (Lorient)
  • 90+5’ goal · Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 40 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,5.

Le Havre DDDDD 0/15 · 18e in the current ranking

Lorient WWNDW 10/15 · 10e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticLe HavreLorient
Shots217
Shots on target53
Observed xG (during the match)0,991,67
Possession (%)5446
Corners50

Exact score 0-2 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,26 – 1,25. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,80 N 3,15 2 2,25 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2465 of the 08/11 17:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:15 · Matchday 10 Favourite came through

Angers SCO0 – 2OGC Nice

OGC Nice win 2-0 at Angers SCO, moderate favourite at 50 %.

Before the match

125 %
N25 %
250 %

Moderate favourite : OGC Nice (50 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 78 %.

What happened

Score 0-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 2’ goal · Sofiane Diop (OGC Nice)
  • 78’ goal · Jonathan Clauss (OGC Nice)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 50 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,8.

Angers SCO DDNDD 1/15 · 16e in the current ranking

OGC Nice WDWWW 12/15 · 6e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticAngers SCOOGC Nice
Shots1216
Shots on target38
Observed xG (during the match)0,701,82
Possession (%)5149
Corners64

Exact score 0-2 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,39 – 1,37. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,65 N 3,60 2 1,76 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2466 of the 08/11 17:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

20:45 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Racing Club de Lens1 – 2Olympique de Marseille

Marseille win at Lens (2-1): an away victory that extends the Phocaean run. RMC Sport recalls that Bruno Genesio calls for humility despite the fifth straight win.

Before the match

145 %
N25 %
231 %

Slight favourite : Racing Club de Lens (45 %). Expected goals: 3,5 · +1.5 goals: 82 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 1-1).

  • 2’ goal · Amine Gouiri (Olympique de Marseille)
  • 20’ goal · Florian Thauvin (Racing Club de Lens)
  • 82’ goal · Keyliane Abdallah (Olympique de Marseille)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 31 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,5.

Racing Club de Lens DWDDD 3/15 · 11e in the current ranking

Olympique de Marseille DWWWW 12/15 · 4e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticRacing Club de LensOlympique de Marseille
Shots1316
Shots on target65
Observed xG (during the match)2,002,22
Possession (%)4159
Corners46

Exact score 1-2 : 7 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,97 – 1,57. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,10 N 3,60 2 2,75 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2512 of the 08/11 20:40, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

ENPremier League 5 matches

15:00 · Matchday 10 Favourite came through

Crystal Palace1 – 3Liverpool

Liverpool wins 3-1 at Crystal Palace, clear favourite at 63%.

Before the match

117 %
N20 %
263 %

Decisive favourite : Liverpool (63 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 1-3 (half-time 0-1).

  • 40’ goal · Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)
  • 54’ goal · Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)
  • 89’ goal · Alexander Isak (Liverpool)
  • 90+5’ penalty goal · Eddie Nketiah (Crystal Palace)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 63 % of chances. 4 goals expected for 2,8.

Crystal Palace NDDND 2/15 · 20e in the current ranking

Liverpool WWDDW 9/15 · 4e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticCrystal PalaceLiverpool
Shots1920
Shots on target78
Observed xG (during the match)2,472,71
Possession (%)5347
Corners47

Exact score 1-3 : 5 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,20 – 1,60. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,80 N 4,30 2 1,46 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2407 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

15:00 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Sunderland1 – 0Chelsea

Sunderland beat Chelsea 1-0: less expected outcome (31%), Chelsea were ahead at 42%.

Before the match

131 %
N27 %
242 %

Slight favourite : Chelsea (42 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 75 %.

What happened

Score 1-0 (half-time 1-0).

  • 36’ penalty goal · Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 31 % of chances. 1 goal expected for 2,8.

Sunderland NNDDW 5/15 · 19e in the current ranking

Chelsea WWDWD 9/15 · 5e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticSunderlandChelsea
Shots910
Shots on target24
Observed xG (during the match)2,580,55
Possession (%)3169
Corners22

Exact score 1-0 : 7 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,31 – 1,50. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,75 N 3,40 2 2,10 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2408 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

15:00 · Matchday 10 Favourite came through

Ipswich Town1 – 2Bournemouth

Bournemouth win 2-1 at Ipswich Town, moderate favourite at 49 %.

Before the match

126 %
N25 %
249 %

Moderate favourite : Bournemouth (49 %). Expected goals: 3,3 · +1.5 goals: 80 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 5’ goal · Francisco Evanilson (Bournemouth)
  • 46’ own goal · Leif Davis (Bournemouth)
  • 73’ penalty goal · Jack Clarke (Ipswich Town)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 49 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,3.

Ipswich Town WDNND 5/15 · 14e in the current ranking

Bournemouth WWWWW 15/15 · 7e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticIpswich TownBournemouth
Shots1015
Shots on target24
Observed xG (during the match)1,322,18
Possession (%)5644
Corners27

Exact score 1-2 : 10 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,28 – 2,02. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,20 N 3,55 2 1,88 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2409 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

15:00 · Matchday 10 Favourite came through

Brighton & Hove Albion2 – 0Brentford

Brighton dominate Brentford 2-0: Diego Gómez opens the scoring with a fine volley, then Pascal Groß converts a penalty. The win was secured after Igor Thiago's sending-off (23e), notes The Guardian.

Before the match

152 %
N24 %
224 %

Moderate favourite : Brighton & Hove Albion (52 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 81 %.

What happened

Score 2-0 (half-time 2-0).

  • 15’ goal · Diego Gomez (Brighton & Hove Albion)
  • 23’ red card · Igor Thiago (Brentford)
  • 42’ penalty goal · Pascal Groß (Brighton & Hove Albion)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 52 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 3,1.

Brighton & Hove Albion WWDWW 12/15 · 2e in the current ranking

Brentford NDNWD 5/15 · 8e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticBrighton & Hove AlbionBrentford
Shots205
Shots on target60
Observed xG (during the match)2,240,75
Possession (%)7525
Corners73

Exact score 2-0 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,91 – 1,23. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,74 N 3,65 2 3,60 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2410 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:30 · Matchday 10 Less expected outcome

Manchester United4 – 4Aston Villa

Old Trafford saw a crazy game (4-4): Aston Villa led twice, Manchester United grabbed an equaliser in stoppage time with goals from Zirkzee and Dorgu. L'Équipe describes it as a miraculous draw for the Mancunians.

Before the match

149 %
N23 %
228 %

Moderate favourite : Manchester United (49 %). Expected goals: 3,0 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 4-4 (half-time 2-2).

  • 1’ goal · Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha (Aston Villa)
  • 4’ goal · Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa)
  • 16’ penalty goal · Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United)
  • 44’ goal · Youri Tielemans (Manchester United)
  • 48’ penalty goal · John McGinn (Aston Villa)
  • 53’ goal · Leon Goretzka (Aston Villa)
  • 90+2’ goal · Joshua Zirkzee (Manchester United)
  • 90+6’ goal · Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 23 % of chances. 8 goals expected for 3,0.

Manchester United DDDWN 4/15 · 18e in the current ranking

Aston Villa WWNDN 8/15 · 10e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticManchester UnitedAston Villa
Shots2612
Shots on target96
Observed xG (during the match)3,632,94
Possession (%)5644
Corners81

Exact score 4-4 : 0 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,68 – 1,32. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,86 N 3,80 2 3,05 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2470 of the 08/11 17:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

ESLiga 5 matches

14:00 · Matchday 12 Favourite came through

Elche0 – 2Real Betis Balompié

Real Betis Balompié win 2-0 at Elche, moderate favourite at 52 %.

Before the match

125 %
N23 %
252 %

Moderate favourite : Real Betis Balompié (52 %). Expected goals: 2,9 · +1.5 goals: 84 %.

What happened

Score 0-2 (half-time 0-0).

  • 81’ goal · Rodrigo Riquelme (Real Betis Balompié)
  • 89’ goal · Marc Bartra (Real Betis Balompié)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 52 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,9.

Elche NNWDD 5/15 · 18e in the current ranking

Real Betis Balompié WNWDW 10/15 · 4e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticElcheReal Betis Balompié
Shots1318
Shots on target19
Observed xG (during the match)1,252,05
Possession (%)4852
Corners98

Exact score 0-2 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,40 – 1,48. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,55 N 3,80 2 1,72 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2379 of the 08/11 13:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

16:15 · Matchday 12 Favourite came through

Real Sociedad de Fútbol1 – 0Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Real Sociedad de Fútbol beat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-0, moderate favourite at 53%.

Before the match

153 %
N24 %
224 %

Moderate favourite : Real Sociedad de Fútbol (53 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 81 %.

What happened

Score 1-0 (half-time 0-0).

  • 67’ goal · Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Real Sociedad de Fútbol)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 53 % of chances. 1 goal expected for 3,1.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol WWDNW 10/15 · 5e in the current ranking

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid NNDWD 5/15 · 14e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticReal Sociedad de FútbolRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Shots1711
Shots on target33
Observed xG (during the match)1,501,41
Possession (%)5149
Corners76

Exact score 1-0 : 7 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,76 – 1,34. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,74 N 3,70 2 3,55 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2437 of the 08/11 16:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

18:30 · Matchday 12 Less expected outcome

RC Celta de Vigo0 – 0Levante UD

RC Celta de Vigo and Levante UD draw 0-0: a less expected outcome (25 %), RC Celta de Vigo had been ahead at 52 %.

Before the match

152 %
N25 %
222 %

Moderate favourite : RC Celta de Vigo (52 %). Expected goals: 2,6 · +1.5 goals: 76 %.

What happened

Score 0-0 (half-time 0-0).

No goal or red card.

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 25 % of chances. 0 goal expected for 2,6.

RC Celta de Vigo WNDDN 5/15 · 11e in the current ranking

Levante UD NWDDN 5/15 · 17e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticRC Celta de VigoLevante UD
Shots236
Shots on target80
Observed xG (during the match)3,120,27
Possession (%)5941
Corners61

Exact score 0-0 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,53 – 1,10. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,72 N 3,55 2 3,80 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2486 of the 08/11 18:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

18:30 · Matchday 12 Favourite came through

Villarreal2 – 0Getafe

Villarreal beat Getafe 2-0, clear favourite at 63 %.

Before the match

163 %
N22 %
215 %

Decisive favourite : Villarreal (63 %). Expected goals: 2,3 · +1.5 goals: 78 %.

What happened

Score 2-0 (half-time 0-0).

  • 80’ goal · Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)
  • 90+1’ goal · Carlos Romero (Villarreal)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 63 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,3.

Villarreal DWDDW 6/15 · 8e in the current ranking

Getafe DNDWD 4/15 · 15e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticVillarrealGetafe
Shots229
Shots on target71
Observed xG (during the match)2,380,68
Possession (%)7327
Corners94

Exact score 2-0 : 12 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,56 – 0,76. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,44 N 4,10 2 5,30 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2487 of the 08/11 18:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

21:00 · Matchday 12 Favourite came through

Atlético de Madrid1 – 2Barcelona

Barcelona win 2-1 at Atlético de Madrid, moderate favourite at 51%.

Before the match

128 %
N21 %
251 %

Moderate favourite : Barcelona (51 %). Expected goals: 3,3 · +1.5 goals: 89 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 1-1).

  • 10’ goal · Giuliano Simeone Baldini (Atlético de Madrid)
  • 45’ goal · Fermín López (Barcelona)
  • 66’ goal · Fermín López (Barcelona)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 51 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,3.

Atlético de Madrid NWWDD 7/15 · 3e in the current ranking

Barcelona DDWWW 9/15 · 1e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticAtlético de MadridBarcelona
Shots919
Shots on target44
Observed xG (during the match)1,571,63
Possession (%)3763
Corners42

Exact score 1-2 : 9 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,42 – 1,84. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,10 N 4,50 2 1,72 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2517 of the 08/11 20:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

ITSerie A 5 matches

12:30 · Matchday 11 Less expected outcome

Napoli1 – 1Lazio

Napoli and Lazio draw (1-1): Davide Frattesi had given Lazio the lead before an Alfonso Pedraza own goal. Football Italia notes Lazio remain top but drop points.

Before the match

146 %
N25 %
229 %

Moderate favourite : Napoli (46 %). Expected goals: 2,6 · +1.5 goals: 81 %.

What happened

Score 1-1 (half-time 0-1).

  • 28’ goal · Davide Frattesi (Lazio)
  • 48’ own goal · Alfonso Pedraza (Napoli)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 25 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,6.

Napoli NWDDN 5/15 · 10e in the current ranking

Lazio WWWWN 13/15 · 1e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticNapoliLazio
Shots1515
Shots on target66
Observed xG (during the match)2,440,92
Possession (%)4852
Corners66

Exact score 1-1 : 13 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,35 – 1,21. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,98 N 3,60 2 2,90 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2347 of the 08/11 12:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

15:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Genoa1 – 2Milan

Milan win 2-1 at Genoa, slight favourite at 49%.

Before the match

124 %
N27 %
249 %

Moderate favourite : Milan (49 %). Expected goals: 2,4 · +1.5 goals: 72 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 0-2).

  • 13’ goal · Alphadjo Cissè (Milan)
  • 19’ goal · Christian Pulisic (Milan)
  • 88’ goal · Mikael Ellertsson (Genoa)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 49 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,4.

Genoa DWWWD 9/15 · 13e in the current ranking

Milan WDWDW 9/15 · 4e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticGenoaMilan
Shots176
Shots on target52
Observed xG (during the match)1,220,67
Possession (%)3862
Corners30

Exact score 1-2 : 9 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,00 – 1,42. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,55 N 3,25 2 1,86 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2404 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

15:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Monza0 – 1Atalanta BC

Atalanta BC win 1-0 at Monza, a moderate favourite at 53%.

Before the match

124 %
N23 %
253 %

Moderate favourite : Atalanta BC (53 %). Expected goals: 3,4 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 0-1 (half-time 0-0).

  • 49’ goal · Nikola Krstović (Atalanta BC)
  • 90+4’ red card · Ivan Juric (Monza)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 53 % of chances. 1 goal expected for 3,4.

Monza WDDDD 3/15 · 18e in the current ranking

Atalanta BC DNNDW 5/15 · 12e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticMonzaAtalanta BC
Shots2213
Shots on target77
Observed xG (during the match)1,421,33
Possession (%)4951
Corners72

Exact score 0-1 : 5 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,69 – 1,75. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,60 N 3,75 2 1,72 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2405 of the 08/11 14:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

18:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Internazionale Milano2 – 0Como

Internazionale Milano beat Como 2-0, a moderate favourite at 47%.

Before the match

147 %
N23 %
230 %

Moderate favourite : Internazionale Milano (47 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 2-0 (half-time 2-0).

  • 12’ goal · Pio Esposito (Internazionale Milano)
  • 19’ goal · Marcus Thuram (Internazionale Milano)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 47 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 3,1.

Internazionale Milano WWDWW 12/15 · 2e in the current ranking

Como WWWWD 12/15 · 5e in the current ranking

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StatisticInternazionale MilanoComo
Shots145
Shots on target41
Observed xG (during the match)1,860,23
Possession (%)4357
Corners42

Exact score 2-0 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,66 – 1,41. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,90 N 3,90 2 2,90 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2480 of the 08/11 17:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

20:45 · Matchday 11 Less expected outcome

ACF Fiorentina2 – 2Juventus

ACF Fiorentina and Juventus draw 2-2: less likely outcome (27 %), Juventus had been favoured at 44 %.

Before the match

130 %
N27 %
244 %

Slight favourite : Juventus (44 %). Expected goals: 2,5 · +1.5 goals: 76 %.

What happened

Score 2-2 (half-time 1-1).

  • 4’ goal · Mateo Pellegrino (ACF Fiorentina)
  • 32’ goal · Nick Woltemade (Juventus)
  • 54’ goal · Alieu Njie (ACF Fiorentina)
  • 66’ goal · Gleison Bremer (Juventus)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 27 % of chances. 4 goals expected for 2,5.

ACF Fiorentina DDNWN 5/15 · 15e in the current ranking

Juventus WDWWN 10/15 · 7e in the current ranking

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StatisticACF FiorentinaJuventus
Shots2218
Shots on target66
Observed xG (during the match)2,152,45
Possession (%)4159
Corners512

Exact score 2-2 : 5 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,05 – 1,41. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,00 N 3,25 2 2,05 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2511 of the 08/11 20:40, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

DEBundesliga 3 matches

15:30 · Matchday 9 Favourite came through

Köln1 – 2Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen win 2-1 at Köln, slight favourite at 57%.

Before the match

121 %
N22 %
257 %

Moderate favourite : Bayer 04 Leverkusen (57 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 84 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 7’ goal · Aleix García (Bayer 04 Leverkusen)
  • 85’ goal · Patrik Schick (Bayer 04 Leverkusen)
  • 90+2’ goal · Said El Mala (Köln)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 57 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,1.

Köln WDNND 5/15 · 15e in the current ranking

Bayer 04 Leverkusen WDDDW 6/15 · 5e in the current ranking

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StatisticKölnBayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots1214
Shots on target68
Observed xG (during the match)1,591,75
Possession (%)3862
Corners26

Exact score 1-2 : 9 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,51 – 1,61. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,20 N 4,00 2 1,56 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2417 of the 08/11 15:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:30 · Matchday 9 Favourite came through

SC Freiburg2 – 0Union Berlin

SC Freiburg beat Union Berlin 2-0, clear favourite at 65 %.

Before the match

165 %
N21 %
214 %

Decisive favourite : SC Freiburg (65 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 80 %.

What happened

Score 2-0 (half-time 0-0).

  • 55’ own goal · Rani Khedira (SC Freiburg)
  • 67’ goal · Yuito Suzuki (SC Freiburg)
  • 84’ penalty missed · Vincenzo Grifo (SC Freiburg)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 65 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,8.

SC Freiburg WDDWW 9/15 · 3e in the current ranking

Union Berlin WNNND 6/15 · 16e in the current ranking

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StatisticSC FreiburgUnion Berlin
Shots204
Shots on target90
Observed xG (during the match)2,320,37
Possession (%)5941
Corners51

Exact score 2-0 : 11 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,88 – 0,93. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,39 N 4,40 2 5,60 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2471 of the 08/11 17:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

19:30 · Matchday 9 Favourite came through

Hoffenheim2 – 1Schalke 04

Hoffenheim beat Schalke 04 2-1, clear favourite at 63%.

Before the match

163 %
N20 %
217 %

Decisive favourite : Hoffenheim (63 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 2-1 (half-time 2-0).

  • 10’ goal · Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim)
  • 26’ goal · Tim Lemperle (Hoffenheim)
  • 81’ goal · Junior Chukwubuike Adamu (Schalke 04)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 63 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,8.

Hoffenheim WWDNW 10/15 · 9e in the current ranking

Schalke 04 DDNDD 1/15 · 17e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticHoffenheimSchalke 04
Shots1523
Shots on target76
Observed xG (during the match)1,942,61
Possession (%)4951
Corners64

Exact score 2-1 : 10 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,90 – 0,85. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,46 N 4,40 2 4,70 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2497 of the 08/11 19:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

PTPrimeira Liga 5 matches

16:30 · Matchday 11 Less expected outcome

CD Santa Clara1 – 2Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente win 2-1 at CD Santa Clara: less expected outcome (31%), CD Santa Clara had been ahead at 39%.

Before the match

139 %
N30 %
231 %

Slight favourite : CD Santa Clara (39 %). Expected goals: 2,0 · +1.5 goals: 67 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 1-0).

  • 29’ own goal · Antonio Espigares (CD Santa Clara)
  • 52’ goal · Walace França (Gil Vicente)
  • 62’ red card · Pedro Pacheco (CD Santa Clara)
  • 81’ goal · Murilo Souza (Gil Vicente)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 31 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,0.

CD Santa Clara NWDWD 7/15 · 4e in the current ranking

Gil Vicente WWDNW 10/15 · 7e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticCD Santa ClaraGil Vicente
Shots920
Shots on target04
Observed xG (during the match)0,791,21
Possession (%)5446
Corners19

Exact score 1-2 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,06 – 0,89. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,20 N 3,00 2 2,80 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2439 of the 08/11 16:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

16:30 · Matchday 11 Less expected outcome

CD Nacional1 – 0Académico de Viseu

CD Nacional beat Académico de Viseu 1-0: less expected outcome (33%), Académico de Viseu had been ahead at 39%.

Before the match

133 %
N28 %
239 %

Slight favourite : Académico de Viseu (39 %). Expected goals: 2,7 · +1.5 goals: 72 %.

What happened

Score 1-0 (half-time 0-0).

  • 86’ goal · Matchoi Djaló (CD Nacional)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 33 % of chances. 1 goal expected for 2,7.

CD Nacional DDWDW 6/15 · 13e in the current ranking

Académico de Viseu WWWWD 12/15 · 6e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticCD NacionalAcadémico de Viseu
Shots1911
Shots on target66
Observed xG (during the match)1,170,65
Possession (%)5149
Corners65

Exact score 1-0 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,27 – 1,40. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,65 N 3,10 2 2,25 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2248 of the 07/11 16:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

19:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Vitória1 – 2Porto

Porto win 2-1 at Vitória, clear favourite at 65%.

Before the match

114 %
N22 %
265 %

Decisive favourite : Porto (65 %). Expected goals: 2,5 · +1.5 goals: 77 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 38’ goal · Borja Sainz (Porto)
  • 77’ goal · Alan de Souza Guimarães (Vitória)
  • 86’ goal · Martim Fernandes (Porto)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 65 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,5.

Vitória NDWND 5/15 · 14e in the current ranking

Porto DWWWW 12/15 · 1e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticVitóriaPorto
Shots1612
Shots on target64
Observed xG (during the match)0,741,64
Possession (%)4753
Corners45

Exact score 1-2 : 9 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 0,99 – 1,53. Odds recorded before the match: 1 5,40 N 4,10 2 1,41 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2492 of the 08/11 18:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

21:30 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Rio Ave0 – 1Sporting Clube de Braga

Sporting Clube de Braga win 1-0 at Rio Ave, clear favourite at 63%.

Before the match

115 %
N22 %
263 %

Decisive favourite : Sporting Clube de Braga (63 %). Expected goals: 2,7 · +1.5 goals: 79 %.

What happened

Score 0-1 (half-time 0-0).

  • 67’ penalty goal · Ricardo Horta (Sporting Clube de Braga)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 63 % of chances. 1 goal expected for 2,7.

Rio Ave DWDDD 3/15 · 17e in the current ranking

Sporting Clube de Braga DDDWW 6/15 · 8e in the current ranking

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StatisticRio AveSporting Clube de Braga
Shots413
Shots on target32
Observed xG (during the match)0,261,91
Possession (%)5347
Corners08

Exact score 0-1 : 11 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 0,99 – 1,71. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,90 N 4,10 2 1,45 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2520 of the 08/11 21:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

21:30 · Matchday 11 Favourite came throughUnusual score

GD Estoril Praia2 – 3Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica win 3-2 at Estoril: lively match where Gianluca Prestianni had opened the scoring for Benfica and Vangelis Pavlidis scored the decisive goal in the dying moments (90+4). Record highlights the home club's defensive errors.

Before the match

111 %
N18 %
271 %

Decisive favourite : Sport Lisboa e Benfica (71 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 82 %.

What happened

Score 2-3 (half-time 0-1).

  • 26’ goal · Gianluca Prestianni (Sport Lisboa e Benfica)
  • 48’ goal · Lovro Zvonarek (GD Estoril Praia)
  • 68’ own goal · Bernardo Schappo (Sport Lisboa e Benfica)
  • 76’ goal · Leandro Antonetti (GD Estoril Praia)
  • 90+4’ goal · Vangelis Pavlidis (Sport Lisboa e Benfica)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 71 % of chances. 5 goals expected for 3,1.

GD Estoril Praia DDDDD 0/15 · 18e in the current ranking

Sport Lisboa e Benfica WWWWW 15/15 · 2e in the current ranking

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StatisticGD Estoril PraiaSport Lisboa e Benfica
Shots715
Shots on target25
Observed xG (during the match)1,351,09
Possession (%)3862
Corners110

Exact score 2-3 : 3 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 0,80 – 2,33.

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2522 of the 08/11 21:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

NLEredivisie 5 matches

12:15 · Matchday 12 Less expected outcome

SC Heerenveen5 – 3Feyenoord Rotterdam

Heerenveen turn it around against Feyenoord 5-3: Ringo Meerveld nets a hat-trick and Heerenveen hand Feyenoord their first league defeat of the season, according to Voetbal International.

Before the match

123 %
N21 %
256 %

Moderate favourite : Feyenoord Rotterdam (56 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 88 %.

What happened

Score 5-3 (half-time 1-2).

  • 25’ goal · Anis Hadj Moussa (Feyenoord Rotterdam)
  • 31’ penalty goal · Nacho Ferri (Feyenoord Rotterdam)
  • 45+3’ goal · Maas Willemsen (SC Heerenveen)
  • 47’ goal · Levi Smans (SC Heerenveen)
  • 61’ goal · Ringo Meerveld (SC Heerenveen)
  • 69’ goal · Sem Steijn (Feyenoord Rotterdam)
  • 84’ goal · Ringo Meerveld (SC Heerenveen)
  • 90+3’ goal · Ringo Meerveld (SC Heerenveen)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 23 % of chances. 8 goals expected for 3,1.

SC Heerenveen DWWWW 12/15 · 6e in the current ranking

Feyenoord Rotterdam DNNDD 2/15 · 2e in the current ranking

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StatisticSC HeerenveenFeyenoord Rotterdam
Shots189
Shots on target93
Observed xG (during the match)1,971,22
Possession (%)5446
Corners41

Exact score 5-3 : 0 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,28 – 1,82. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,70 N 4,00 2 1,60 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2344 of the 08/11 12:10, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

14:30 · Matchday 12 Less expected outcome

Twente '652 – 2Ajax

Twente '65 and Ajax draw 2-2: the less expected outcome (22 %), Twente '65 were ahead at 54 %.

Before the match

154 %
N22 %
224 %

Moderate favourite : Twente '65 (54 %). Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 87 %.

What happened

Score 2-2 (half-time 0-1).

  • 3’ goal · Tolu Arokodare (Ajax)
  • 66’ goal · Rayane Bounida (Ajax)
  • 68’ own goal · Dies Janse (Twente '65)
  • 90+5’ penalty goal · Wout Weghorst (Twente '65)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 22 % of chances. 4 goals expected for 3,1.

Twente '65 NDWWN 8/15 · 4e in the current ranking

Ajax NWWWN 11/15 · 3e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticTwente '65Ajax
Shots226
Shots on target52
Observed xG (during the match)2,560,72
Possession (%)5545
Corners92

Exact score 2-2 : 6 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,91 – 1,23. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,66 N 3,95 2 3,40 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2393 of the 08/11 14:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

16:45 · Matchday 12 Favourite came throughUnusual score

AZ4 – 3Groningen

AZ beat Groningen 4-3, clear favourite at 64%, with an unusual scoreline.

Before the match

164 %
N19 %
217 %

Decisive favourite : AZ (64 %). Expected goals: 3,4 · +1.5 goals: 87 %.

What happened

Score 4-3 (half-time 1-1).

  • 2’ goal · Jacob Ondrejka (Groningen)
  • 9’ goal · Mexx Meerdink (AZ)
  • 47’ goal · Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson (Groningen)
  • 54’ goal · Thom Van Bergen (Groningen)
  • 59’ penalty missed · Mexx Meerdink (AZ)
  • 61’ goal · Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)
  • 76’ goal · Mateo Chávez (AZ)
  • 88’ red card · Etienne Vaessen (Groningen)
  • 90+1’ penalty goal · Mexx Meerdink (AZ)
  • 90+10’ red card · Hans Hateboer (Groningen)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 64 % of chances. 7 goals expected for 3,4.

AZ WDDDW 6/15 · 5e in the current ranking

Groningen WDNDD 4/15 · 9e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticAZGroningen
Shots199
Shots on target55
Observed xG (during the match)3,962,18
Possession (%)5842
Corners70

Exact score 4-3 : 1 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 2,10 – 1,27. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,40 N 4,50 2 4,80 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2448 of the 08/11 16:40, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

16:45 · Matchday 12 Favourite came throughUnusual score

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2 – 5PSV

PSV win 5-2 at SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden, clear favourite at 68 %, with an unusual scoreline.

Before the match

115 %
N17 %
268 %

Decisive favourite : PSV (68 %). Expected goals: 3,7 · +1.5 goals: 91 %.

What happened

Score 2-5 (half-time 1-3).

  • 1’ goal · Sven Mijnans (PSV)
  • 15’ goal · Sven Mijnans (PSV)
  • 19’ goal · Ruben van Bommel (PSV)
  • 41’ goal · Nicky Souren (SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden)
  • 78’ goal · Iwan Henstra (SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden)
  • 80’ goal · Sven Mijnans (PSV)
  • 90+2’ goal · Ayoni Santos (PSV)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 68 % of chances. 7 goals expected for 3,7.

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden WNWWD 10/15 · 10e in the current ranking

PSV WNWDW 10/15 · 1e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticSC Cambuur-LeeuwardenPSV
Shots1016
Shots on target37
Observed xG (during the match)1,062,62
Possession (%)3862
Corners11

Exact score 2-5 : 1 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,37 – 2,29. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,90 N 4,90 2 1,35 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2449 of the 08/11 16:40, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

20:00 · Matchday 12 Most likely outcome

Utrecht2 – 3NEC

NEC win 3-2 at Utrecht, most likely outcome (40%) in a match without a clear favourite.

Before the match

136 %
N24 %
240 %

No clear favourite. Expected goals: 3,1 · +1.5 goals: 85 %.

What happened

Score 2-3 (half-time 0-2).

  • 34’ goal · Kevin Kers (NEC)
  • 38’ goal · Dušan Tadić (NEC)
  • 56’ goal · Yoann Cathline (Utrecht)
  • 58’ goal · Dušan Tadić (NEC)
  • 64’ goal · Dani De Wit (Utrecht)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 40 % of chances. 5 goals expected for 3,1.

Utrecht WWNDD 7/15 · 14e in the current ranking

NEC WNDWW 10/15 · 11e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticUtrechtNEC
Shots1616
Shots on target57
Observed xG (during the match)2,102,31
Possession (%)4951
Corners38

Exact score 2-3 : 4 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,50 – 1,62. Odds recorded before the match: 1 2,40 N 3,60 2 2,20 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2502 of the 08/11 19:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

TRSüper Lig 4 matches

11:30 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Rizespor2 – 1Erzurumspor FK

Rizespor beat Erzurumspor FK 2-1, modest favourite at 52%.

Before the match

152 %
N25 %
223 %

Moderate favourite : Rizespor (52 %). Expected goals: 2,4 · +1.5 goals: 76 %.

What happened

Score 2-1 (half-time 1-1).

  • 31’ goal · A. Sowe (Rizespor)
  • 37’ goal · I. Diabate (Erzurumspor FK)
  • 66’ goal · A. Sowe (Rizespor)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 52 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,4.

Rizespor DDDNW 4/15 · 11e in the current ranking

Erzurumspor FK NWWDD 7/15 · 12e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticRizesporErzurumspor FK
Shots249
Shots on target64
Observed xG (during the match)3,300,88
Possession (%)6238
Corners82

Exact score 2-1 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,23 – 1,13. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,80 N 3,45 2 3,70 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2337 of the 08/11 11:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

14:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came throughUnusual score

Çorum FK0 – 5Fenerbahçe SK

Fenerbahçe crush Çorum FK 5-0: Greenwood and İrfan Can Kahveci find the net and Sporx highlights the club's good momentum under their new coach.

Before the match

127 %
N24 %
250 %

Moderate favourite : Fenerbahçe SK (50 %). Expected goals: 2,8 · +1.5 goals: 83 %.

What happened

Score 0-5 (half-time 0-2).

  • 12’ goal · M. Greenwood (Fenerbahçe SK)
  • 21’ goal · I. Kahveci (Fenerbahçe SK)
  • 56’ goal · I. Kahveci (Fenerbahçe SK)
  • 63’ goal · M. Greenwood (Fenerbahçe SK)
  • 74’ goal · O. Aydin (Fenerbahçe SK)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 50 % of chances. 5 goals expected for 2,8.

Çorum FK WWDWD 9/15 · 9e in the current ranking

Fenerbahçe SK NDDWW 7/15 · 6e in the current ranking

In the press

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StatisticÇorum FKFenerbahçe SK
Shots2210
Shots on target86
Observed xG (during the match)2,001,30
Possession (%)3961
Corners71

Exact score 0-5 : 0 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,50 – 1,30. Odds recorded before the match: 1 3,20 N 3,65 2 1,90 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2380 of the 08/11 13:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

16:30 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Alanyaspor0 – 2Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor win 2-0 at Alanyaspor, moderate favourite at 59 %.

Before the match

118 %
N23 %
259 %

Moderate favourite : Trabzonspor (59 %). Expected goals: 2,7 · +1.5 goals: 79 %.

What happened

Score 0-2 (half-time 0-2).

  • 17’ goal · W. Pina (Trabzonspor)
  • 34’ goal · M. Salah (Trabzonspor)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 59 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 2,7.

Alanyaspor NDDDD 1/15 · 13e in the current ranking

Trabzonspor WWWWW 15/15 · 2e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticAlanyasporTrabzonspor
Shots1421
Shots on target15
Observed xG (during the match)2,042,61
Possession (%)3961
Corners54

Exact score 0-2 : 8 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,16 – 1,57. Odds recorded before the match: 1 4,50 N 4,00 2 1,54 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2440 of the 08/11 16:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

19:00 · Matchday 11 Favourite came through

Besiktas JK3 – 0Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Besiktas JK beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3-0, clear favourite at 83 %.

Before the match

183 %
N12 %
26 %

Decisive favourite : Besiktas JK (83 %). Expected goals: 3,2 · +1.5 goals: 88 %.

What happened

Score 3-0 (half-time 2-0).

  • 20’ goal · D. Vlahovic (Besiktas JK)
  • 22’ red card · M. Baltaci (Gençlerbirliği S.K.)
  • 45’ goal · D. Vlahovic (Besiktas JK)
  • 85’ goal · E. Poku (Besiktas JK)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 83 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 3,2.

Besiktas JK NWNDW 8/15 · 4e in the current ranking

Gençlerbirliği S.K. NDDWD 4/15 · 14e in the current ranking

See details
StatisticBesiktas JKGençlerbirliği S.K.
Shots203
Shots on target101
Observed xG (during the match)4,090,18
Possession (%)6931
Corners41

Exact score 3-0 : 9 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 2,36 – 0,79. Odds recorded before the match: 1 1,13 N 7,25 2 10,50 (Winamax).

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2493 of the 08/11 18:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

TR1. Lig 4 matches

11:30 · Matchday 14 Less expected outcome

Bandırmaspor0 – 4Fatih Karagümrük

Fatih Karagümrük win 4-0 at Bandırmaspor: less likely outcome (28 %), Bandırmaspor had been favoured at 42 %.

Before the match

142 %
N30 %
228 %

Slight favourite : Bandırmaspor (42 %). Expected goals: 2,2 · +1.5 goals: 66 %.

What happened

Score 0-4 (half-time 0-2).

  • 11’ own goal · Gianni Bruno (Fatih Karagümrük)
  • 22’ goal · Yaya Onogo (Fatih Karagümrük)
  • 79’ red card · Enes Aydın (Bandırmaspor)
  • 87’ goal · Baris Kalayci (Fatih Karagümrük)
  • 90+3’ goal · Daniele Verde (Fatih Karagümrük)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 28 % of chances. 4 goals expected for 2,2.

Bandırmaspor NDDDD 1/15 · 15e in the current ranking

Fatih Karagümrük DDWDW 6/15 · 9e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticBandırmasporFatih Karagümrük
Shots521
Shots on target311
Observed xG (during the match)0,712,66
Possession (%)4654
Corners27

Exact score 0-4 : 0 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,26 – 0,98.

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2338 of the 08/11 11:20, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

14:00 · Matchday 14 Favourite came through

Boluspor1 – 2Bodrum FK

Bodrum FK win 2-1 at Boluspor, moderate favourite at 56%.

Before the match

119 %
N25 %
256 %

Moderate favourite : Bodrum FK (56 %). Expected goals: 2,6 · +1.5 goals: 74 %.

What happened

Score 1-2 (half-time 0-2).

  • 15’ goal · Arlind Ajeti (Bodrum FK)
  • 31’ goal · Ruben Providence (Bodrum FK)
  • 58’ red card · Vincent Aboubakar (Bodrum FK)
  • 88’ goal · B. Göçmen (Boluspor)

What we take away

The observed outcome (2) had 56 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,6.

Boluspor DDDWD 3/15 · 20e in the current ranking

Bodrum FK WWWNW 13/15 · 7e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticBolusporBodrum FK
Shots179
Shots on target75
Observed xG (during the match)1,610,90
Possession (%)6337
Corners72

Exact score 1-2 : 10 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 0,90 – 1,70.

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2381 of the 08/11 13:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

14:00 · Matchday 14 Less expected outcome

Ümraniyespor2 – 1Kayserispor

Ümraniyespor beat Kayserispor 2-1: less-expected outcome (31%), Kayserispor had been ahead at 42%.

Before the match

131 %
N27 %
242 %

Slight favourite : Kayserispor (42 %). Expected goals: 2,7 · +1.5 goals: 75 %.

What happened

Score 2-1 (half-time 1-0).

  • 40’ goal · Tomislav Glumac (Ümraniyespor)
  • 74’ penalty goal · Cebio Soukou (Ümraniyespor)
  • 90+2’ penalty goal · Florent Hasani (Kayserispor)

What we take away

The observed outcome (1) had 31 % of chances. 3 goals expected for 2,7.

Ümraniyespor NWWNW 11/15 · 12e in the current ranking

Kayserispor WNNWD 8/15 · 2e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticÜmraniyesporKayserispor
Shots1013
Shots on target36
Observed xG (during the match)1,492,89
Possession (%)4456
Corners43

Exact score 2-1 : 7 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,21 – 1,44.

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2382 of the 08/11 13:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

17:00 · Matchday 14 Less expected outcome

Mardin 19691 – 1Batman Petrolspor

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor draw 1-1: less expected outcome (23%), Mardin 1969 had been ahead at 42%.

Before the match

142 %
N23 %
235 %

Slight favourite : Mardin 1969 (42 %). Expected goals: 3,5 · +1.5 goals: 86 %.

What happened

Score 1-1 (half-time 0-0).

  • 49’ goal · Mallik Wilks (Mardin 1969)
  • 51’ goal · Mickael Biron (Batman Petrolspor)

What we take away

The observed outcome (N) had 23 % of chances. 2 goals expected for 3,5.

Mardin 1969 WDWWN 10/15 · 4e in the current ranking

Batman Petrolspor WNWDN 8/15 · 5e in the current ranking

In the press

See details
StatisticMardin 1969Batman Petrolspor
Shots169
Shots on target44
Observed xG (during the match)1,151,50
Possession (%)5545
Corners71

Exact score 1-1 : 10 % pre-match (model grid). Expected goals by the model: 1,81 – 1,65.

Source: snapshot H10 n° 2455 of the 08/11 16:50, engine v3.0, model global_v3.

Full match profile ↗

Unconfirmed result 1

Postponed 1

Matchday goals

129buts en 42 matchs · 3,07 par match
41/42matches with at least 1 goal (98 %)
36/42matches with at least 2 goals (86 %)

Over a single day, these gaps are mostly down to chance: a few matches do not measure the model’s reliability. No betting returns are calculated here.

Form trend

Points on a rolling window of the last 5 completed matches (followed leagues and European cups), from oldest to newest. When a match is added, the oldest drops out: the total can fall after a draw or even a win, this is not a loss of points in the standings.

ACF FiorentinaDDNWN 4 → 5/15

A draw that day; an older defeat drops out of the window (+1 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 15e of Serie A (9 pts). Prochain match : chez Monza, le 23/11 20:45 (Serie A).

AZWDDDW 4 → 6/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 5e of Eredivisie (23 pts). Prochain match : chez Sparta Rotterdam, le 22/11 14:30 (Eredivisie).

Académico de ViseuWWWWD 15 → 12/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 6e of Primeira Liga (20 pts). Prochain match : contre Alverca, le 28/11 19:00 (Primeira Liga).

AjaxNWWWN 11 → 11/15

A draw that day; an older draw falls out of the window.

Current position: 3e of Eredivisie (25 pts). Prochain match : contre ADO Den Haag, le 22/11 14:30 (Eredivisie).

AlanyasporNDDDD 4 → 1/15

A defeat that day; an older win falls out of the window (-3 pt over 5 matches). Run of 4 defeats.

Current position: 13e of Süper Lig (12 pts). Prochain match : chez Kasımpaşa, le 22/11 14:00 (Süper Lig).

Angers SCODDNDD 4 → 1/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 16e of Ligue 1 (8 pts). Prochain match : chez Paris, le 22/11 15:00 (Ligue 1).

Aston VillaWWNDN 10 → 8/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 10e of Premier League (13 pts). Prochain match : contre Sunderland, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

Atalanta BCDNNDW 5 → 5/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 12e of Serie A (14 pts). Prochain match : contre Internazionale Milano, le 22/11 20:45 (Serie A).

Atlético de MadridNWWDD 10 → 7/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 3e of Liga (28 pts). Prochain match : chez Getafe, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

BandırmasporNDDDD 4 → 1/15

A defeat that day; an older win falls out of the window (-3 pt over 5 matches). Run of 4 defeats.

Current position: 15e of 1. Lig (14 pts). Prochain match : chez Mardin 1969, le 21/11 11:30 (1. Lig).

BarcelonaDDWWW 9 → 9/15

A win that day; an older win drops out of the window. Three-game winning run.

Current position: 1e of Liga (33 pts). Prochain match : contre Villarreal, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Batman PetrolsporWNWDN 7 → 8/15

A draw that day; an older defeat drops out of the window (+1 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 5e of 1. Lig (24 pts). Prochain match : contre Muğlaspor, le 22/11 11:30 (1. Lig).

Bayer 04 LeverkusenWDDDW 6 → 6/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 5e of Bundesliga (16 pts). Prochain match : contre SC Paderborn 07, le 21/11 15:30 (Bundesliga).

Besiktas JKNWNDW 5 → 8/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 4e of Süper Lig (22 pts). Prochain match : chez Konyaspor, le 22/11 14:00 (Süper Lig).

Bodrum FKWWWNW 10 → 13/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 7e of 1. Lig (21 pts). Prochain match : contre Vanspor FK, le 23/11 18:00 (1. Lig).

BolusporDDDWD 3 → 3/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 20e of 1. Lig (4 pts). Prochain match : chez Fatih Karagümrük, le 21/11 17:00 (1. Lig).

BournemouthWWWWW 15 → 15/15

A victory that day; an older win falls out of the window. Run of 5 wins.

Current position: 7e of Premier League (15 pts). Prochain match : contre Nottingham Forest, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

BrentfordNDNWD 8 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 8e of Premier League (14 pts). Prochain match : contre Everton, le 23/11 21:00 (Premier League).

Brighton & Hove AlbionWWDWW 12 → 12/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 2e of Premier League (22 pts). Prochain match : chez Hull City, le 22/11 15:00 (Premier League).

CD NacionalDDWDW 3 → 6/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 13e of Primeira Liga (10 pts). Prochain match : chez CS Marítimo, le 27/11 21:15 (Primeira Liga).

CD Santa ClaraNWDWD 10 → 7/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 4e of Primeira Liga (21 pts). Prochain match : chez Moreirense, le 28/11 16:30 (Primeira Liga).

ChelseaWWDWD 9 → 9/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 5e of Premier League (16 pts). Prochain match : contre Leeds United, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

ComoWWWWD 15 → 12/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 5e of Serie A (23 pts). Prochain match : contre Cagliari Calcio, le 21/11 15:00 (Serie A).

Crystal PalaceNDDND 2 → 2/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 20e of Premier League (7 pts). Prochain match : chez Coventry City, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

ElcheNNWDD 8 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 18e of Liga (10 pts). Prochain match : chez Levante UD, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Erzurumspor FKNWWDD 10 → 7/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 12e of Süper Lig (14 pts). Prochain match : contre Göztepe, le 22/11 11:30 (Süper Lig).

Fatih KaragümrükDDWDW 4 → 6/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 9e of 1. Lig (19 pts). Prochain match : contre Boluspor, le 21/11 17:00 (1. Lig).

Fenerbahçe SKNDDWW 7 → 7/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 6e of Süper Lig (19 pts). Prochain match : chez Kocaelispor, le 21/11 17:00 (Süper Lig).

Feyenoord RotterdamDNNDD 5 → 2/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 2e of Eredivisie (25 pts). Prochain match : contre SBV Excelsior, le 21/11 18:45 (Eredivisie).

GD Estoril PraiaDDDDD 0 → 0/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window. 5-match losing run.

Current position: 18e of Primeira Liga (2 pts). Prochain match : chez Gil Vicente, le 29/11 19:00 (Primeira Liga).

GenoaDWWWD 12 → 9/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 13e of Serie A (13 pts). Prochain match : chez Sassuolo Calcio, le 22/11 15:00 (Serie A).

Gençlerbirliği S.K.NDDWD 4 → 4/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 14e of Süper Lig (11 pts). Prochain match : contre Gaziantep FK, le 21/11 11:30 (Süper Lig).

GetafeDNDWD 7 → 4/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 15e of Liga (12 pts). Prochain match : contre Atlético de Madrid, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Gil VicenteWWDNW 8 → 10/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 7e of Primeira Liga (18 pts). Prochain match : contre GD Estoril Praia, le 29/11 19:00 (Primeira Liga).

GroningenWDNDD 7 → 4/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 9e of Eredivisie (15 pts). Prochain match : contre SC Heerenveen, le 21/11 21:00 (Eredivisie).

HoffenheimWWDNW 10 → 10/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 9e of Bundesliga (12 pts). Prochain match : chez Eintracht Frankfurt, le 21/11 15:30 (Bundesliga).

Internazionale MilanoWWDWW 12 → 12/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 2e of Serie A (28 pts). Prochain match : chez Atalanta BC, le 22/11 20:45 (Serie A).

Ipswich TownWDNND 5 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 14e of Premier League (11 pts). Prochain match : chez Tottenham Hotspur, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

JuventusWDWWN 10 → 10/15

A draw that day; an older draw falls out of the window.

Current position: 7e of Serie A (18 pts). Prochain match : contre Venezia, le 22/11 12:30 (Serie A).

KayserisporWNNWD 11 → 8/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 2e of 1. Lig (30 pts). Prochain match : contre Sarıyer, le 21/11 14:00 (1. Lig).

KölnWDNND 5 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 15e of Bundesliga (9 pts). Prochain match : chez Bayern München, le 20/11 20:30 (Bundesliga).

LazioWWWWN 15 → 13/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 1e of Serie A (29 pts). Prochain match : contre Lecce, le 21/11 15:00 (Serie A).

Le HavreDDDDD 0 → 0/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window. 5-match losing run.

Current position: 18e of Ligue 1 (2 pts). Prochain match : chez ES Troyes, le 20/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

Le MansDDNDN 4 → 2/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 15e of Ligue 1 (8 pts). Prochain match : chez Olympique de Marseille, le 22/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

Levante UDNWDDN 5 → 5/15

A draw that day; an older draw falls out of the window.

Current position: 17e of Liga (11 pts). Prochain match : contre Elche, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Lille OSCDNWNW 6 → 8/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 2e of Ligue 1 (21 pts). Prochain match : contre Olympique Lyonnais, le 21/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

LiverpoolWWDDW 9 → 9/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 4e of Premier League (18 pts). Prochain match : contre Manchester United, le 22/11 17:30 (Premier League).

LorientWWNDW 7 → 10/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 10e of Ligue 1 (15 pts). Prochain match : contre Stade Rennais, le 22/11 17:15 (Ligue 1).

Manchester UnitedDDDWN 4 → 4/15

A draw that day; an older draw falls out of the window.

Current position: 18e of Premier League (8 pts). Prochain match : chez Liverpool, le 22/11 17:30 (Premier League).

Mardin 1969WDWWN 12 → 10/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 4e of 1. Lig (25 pts). Prochain match : contre Bandırmaspor, le 21/11 11:30 (1. Lig).

MilanWDWDW 6 → 9/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 4e of Serie A (24 pts). Prochain match : contre Frosinone Calcio, le 22/11 18:00 (Serie A).

MonacoNDNDN 5 → 3/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 7e of Ligue 1 (16 pts). Prochain match : contre AJ Auxerre, le 21/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

MonzaWDDDD 3 → 3/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat falls out of the window. 4-match losing run.

Current position: 18e of Serie A (7 pts). Prochain match : contre ACF Fiorentina, le 23/11 20:45 (Serie A).

NECWNDWW 8 → 10/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 11e of Eredivisie (14 pts). Prochain match : contre PSV, le 21/11 16:30 (Eredivisie).

NapoliNWDDN 7 → 5/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 10e of Serie A (15 pts). Prochain match : contre Torino, le 21/11 20:45 (Serie A).

OGC NiceWDWWW 12 → 12/15

A win that day; an older win drops out of the window. Three-game winning run.

Current position: 6e of Ligue 1 (17 pts). Prochain match : contre Paris Saint-Germain, le 21/11 17:15 (Ligue 1).

Olympique LyonnaisDDWND 7 → 4/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 5e of Ligue 1 (17 pts). Prochain match : chez Lille OSC, le 21/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

Olympique de MarseilleDWWWW 12 → 12/15

A win that day; an earlier victory drops out of the window. 4-match winning run.

Current position: 4e of Ligue 1 (18 pts). Prochain match : contre Le Mans, le 22/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

PSVWNWDW 7 → 10/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 1e of Eredivisie (26 pts). Prochain match : chez NEC, le 21/11 16:30 (Eredivisie).

PortoDWWWW 9 → 12/15

A win that day; an older defeat drops out of the window (+3 pt over 5 matches). Four-game winning run.

Current position: 1e of Primeira Liga (33 pts). Prochain match : chez Feyenoord Rotterdam, le 24/11 21:00 (Champions League).

RC Celta de VigoWNDDN 7 → 5/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 11e of Liga (13 pts). Prochain match : chez Real Madrid, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Racing Club de LensDWDDD 6 → 3/15

A defeat that day; an older win falls out of the window (-3 pts over 5 matches). Run of 3 defeats.

Current position: 11e of Ligue 1 (13 pts). Prochain match : contre Toulouse, le 21/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

Rayo Vallecano de MadridNNDWD 8 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older win goes out the window (-3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 14e of Liga (12 pts). Prochain match : contre Valencia, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Real Betis BalompiéWNWDW 7 → 10/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 4e of Liga (26 pts). Prochain match : chez Sevilla, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Real Sociedad de FútbolWWDNW 10 → 10/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 5e of Liga (22 pts). Prochain match : chez Santander, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

Rio AveDWDDD 4 → 3/15

A defeat that day; an older draw goes out the window (-1 pt from 5 matches). Run of 3 defeats.

Current position: 17e of Primeira Liga (7 pts). Prochain match : chez Arouca, le 28/11 16:30 (Primeira Liga).

RizesporDDDNW 2 → 4/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 11e of Süper Lig (14 pts). Prochain match : chez Amed, le 21/11 14:00 (Süper Lig).

SC Cambuur-LeeuwardenWNWWD 11 → 10/15

A defeat that day; an older draw falls out of the window (-1 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 10e of Eredivisie (15 pts). Prochain match : chez Utrecht, le 21/11 18:45 (Eredivisie).

SC FreiburgWDDWW 7 → 9/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 3e of Bundesliga (19 pts). Prochain match : chez SV 07 Elversberg, le 21/11 15:30 (Bundesliga).

SC HeerenveenDWWWW 12 → 12/15

A win that day; an earlier victory drops out of the window. 4-match winning run.

Current position: 6e of Eredivisie (21 pts). Prochain match : chez Groningen, le 21/11 21:00 (Eredivisie).

Schalke 04DDNDD 2 → 1/15

A defeat that day; an older draw falls out of the window (-1 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 17e of Bundesliga (6 pts). Prochain match : contre Stuttgart, le 21/11 18:30 (Bundesliga).

Sport Lisboa e BenficaWWWWW 15 → 15/15

A victory that day; an older win falls out of the window. Run of 5 wins.

Current position: 2e of Primeira Liga (28 pts). Prochain match : contre Famalicão, le 30/11 21:15 (Primeira Liga).

Sporting Clube de BragaDDDWW 4 → 6/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 8e of Primeira Liga (17 pts). Prochain match : chez Casa Pia, le 30/11 21:15 (Primeira Liga).

Stade Brestois 29WNDWW 7 → 10/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 9e of Ligue 1 (15 pts). Prochain match : chez RC Strasbourg Alsace, le 21/11 20:45 (Ligue 1).

Stade RennaisNWDND 5 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 8e of Ligue 1 (16 pts). Prochain match : chez Lorient, le 22/11 17:15 (Ligue 1).

SunderlandNNDDW 2 → 5/15

A win that day; an earlier defeat drops out of the window (+3 pts from 5 matches).

Current position: 19e of Premier League (8 pts). Prochain match : chez Aston Villa, le 21/11 16:00 (Premier League).

TrabzonsporWWWWW 15 → 15/15

A victory that day; an older win falls out of the window. Run of 5 wins.

Current position: 2e of Süper Lig (25 pts). Prochain match : contre Eyüpspor, le 22/11 17:00 (Süper Lig).

Twente '65NDWWN 10 → 8/15

A draw that day; an older victory drops out of the window: the total falls (-2) without the team losing any points in the table.

Current position: 4e of Eredivisie (24 pts). Prochain match : contre Willem II Tilburg, le 22/11 12:15 (Eredivisie).

Union BerlinWNNND 6 → 6/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 16e of Bundesliga (7 pts). Prochain match : contre RB Leipzig, le 21/11 15:30 (Bundesliga).

UtrechtWWNDD 7 → 7/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 14e of Eredivisie (12 pts). Prochain match : contre SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden, le 21/11 18:45 (Eredivisie).

VillarrealDWDDW 4 → 6/15

A win that day; an older draw drops out of the window (+2 pt over 5 matches).

Current position: 8e of Liga (15 pts). Prochain match : chez Barcelona, le 22/11 01:00 (Liga).

VitóriaNDWND 5 → 5/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 14e of Primeira Liga (9 pts). Prochain match : contre CF Estrela da Amadora, le 28/11 21:30 (Primeira Liga).

Çorum FKWWDWD 9 → 9/15

A defeat that day; an older defeat drops out of the window.

Current position: 9e of Süper Lig (16 pts). Prochain match : chez Başakşehir, le 23/11 18:00 (Süper Lig).

ÜmraniyesporNWWNW 11 → 11/15

A victory that day; an older victory drops out of the window.

Current position: 12e of 1. Lig (17 pts). Prochain match : chez Iğdır FK, le 20/11 18:00 (1. Lig).

What we take forward

Dynamics to watch

To be confirmed in the next matches

What limits the analysis

In the press

Napoli · Vanja Milinković-Savić replaces Alex Meret in Napoli's goal for the match against Lazio.Football Italia · published on 08/11 11:40
Real Sociedad de Fútbol · Real Sociedad have confirmed that Mamadou Sarr suffers a muscle injury to his left calf and will miss the game against Rayo Vallecano, and possibly the following match.Mundo Deportivo · published on 07/11 14:10
Porto · Coach Farioli said he was concerned about Bednarek and couldn't see when he left the pitch, suggesting a physical problem.Record · published on 08/11 21:40
Olympique de Marseille · Amine Gouiri is named in the starting XI for Olympique de Marseille's trip to Lens.L'Équipe · published on 08/11 21:10
Olympique de Marseille · Igor Paixao is named in the starting XI for Olympique de Marseille's trip to Lens.L'Équipe · published on 08/11 21:10
Olympique de Marseille · Abdelli is named in the starting XI for Olympique de Marseille's trip to Lens.L'Équipe · published on 08/11 21:10
Milan · Diego Moreira, Christian Pulisic and Luka Modric start for Genoa vs Milan.Football Italia · published on 08/11 14:10
Feyenoord Rotterdam · Tsuyoshi Watanabe returns to Feyenoord Rotterdam's starting XI and replaces Thijs Kraaijeveld in defence for the match against SC Heerenveen.Voetbal International · published on 08/11 11:10
Sources and method

Scope: Ligue 1, Premier League, Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Champions League, Europa League, Primeira Liga, Eredivisie, Süper Lig, 1. Lig. Coverage: 42 pre-match analyses, 42 match sheets and 42 sets of statistics on 42 completed matches.

Press: articles from reliable sources published within 20 h of kick-off and mentioning one of the two clubs (title and link, up to 4 per match); 41 matches covered.

Categories

A probabilistic forecast allows several possible outcomes: an outcome with 30% that happens is not a “bad prediction”. All matches in the scope are listed, including those that contradict the prediction. Report saved on 09/11/2026 14:20, version 48 (first on 08/11 00:20). Written by: AI agent (openai) based on the facts above.

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